Carbon Emission and Economic Growth of SAARC Countries: A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis


This paper examines the causal relationship between carbon ( ) emissions and economic growth in seven SAARC countries using time series data for the period from 1972-2012. We applied Vector Error Correction Modeling (VECM) approach. We have also applied Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (P.P) test and Johansen’s cointegration approach to check time series properties and cointegration relationship of the variables. Results exhibit a cointegration relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth. Results also show that the estimated coefficients of emissions have positive and significant impacts on GDP in the long run. These results will help the environmental authorities to understand the effects of economic growth on environment for degradation and manage the environmental problems using macroeconomic methods.

Keywords: Causality, Emission, GDP, SAARC, VECM

Unique Article ID: IJDES-135

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