The paper examined the effect of currency devaluation on the Non-oil export of Nigeria. The study covered the period of 1986 to 2018. Secondary data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues. Independent variables include: Inflation Rate (INFR), Exchange Rate (EXR), and Money Supply (MS) while Non-Oil Export (NOE) represented the dependent indicator. Ordinary Least Square Regression Model was used to analyze the short run relationship between variables used for the study. The variables were also subjected to Augmented Dickey Fuller and Philip Perron Unit Root test, Johansen Co-integration and Granger Causality Tests was adopted to analyze the effect of currency devaluation on non-oil export in Nigeria. The result showed that EXR had a negative significant effect while MS had positive significant influence on non-oil export but INFR had negative but insignificant relationship on the dependent variable in Nigeria hence devaluation of currency influenced non-oil export in Nigeria negatively. The Nigerian Government needs to increase its competitive chances by either revaluating its currency or banning importation of some items produced locally to boost the domestic economy. The study provides the extent at which the devaluation of currency influences the non-oil export in Nigeria.
Assessing the Relationship between Diversification of Non-Oil Export Product and Economic Growth in Nigeria. (Published)
The study investigates the relationship between diversification of non-oil export products and economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 and 2014. The study examines the significant role of non-oil export product on real economic growth which the previous studies might have ignored and the aggregate non-oil exports product data used by them might bias their conclusions. In achieving the objectives of the study, Ordinary Least Square Methods involving Error correction mechanism, co-integration, over-parametization and parsimonious were adopted. Johansen Co integration test reveals that the variables are cointegrated which confirms the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables. Thus, this suggests that all the variables tend to move together in the long run. The study reveals that the there is significant relationship between diversification of non-oil export and economic growth in Nigeria during the period. This was evident in the study that the policies on non-oil products during the period in Nigerian do not sufficiently encourage non-oil export, thus reduce their contributions to growth. This is because the study reveals that agricultural and manufacturing components of non-oil export has positive and significant relationship with economic growth while solid minerals components has negative and insignificant relationship with economic growth in Nigeria. This study therefore recommend that government should enforce non-oil export policies towards resuscitating the failing non-oil export industry. The study among other things encourages the government to strengthen the legislative and supervisory framework of the non-oil products in Nigeria and diversify the economy to ensure maximum contributions from all faces of the subsectors to economic growth of Nigeria.