Tag Archives: Domestic Savings

Financial Liberalization and Domestic Savings in Nigeria: An Empirical Analysis (Published)

One of the reasons for financial liberalization is to adequately mobilize domestic savings in developing countries. Hence, this study investigated the existing relationship between financial liberalization and domestic savings in Nigeria. In achieving this, contemporary econometric approach involving unit root test, co-integration test and error correction model was adopted to analyze the time series data from 1970 to 2015. The study used interest rate spread and financial liberalization index as measures of financial liberalization. It used credit to the private sector over GDP and the number of bank branches over the population to measure financial deepening and financial inclusion respectively. The findings revealed that per capita income and financial deepening were the two factors that affected domestic savings in Nigeria significantly as against interest rate which was widely viewed as the major factor affecting savings mobilization in Less Developed Countries. The study recommended increase in the existing level of per capita income which could be achieved by upward review of wages and salaries of workers every three years. Monetary authorities should use moral suasion to encourage microfinance banks and commercial banks to establish branches in rural areas to help further reduce the population of unbanked Nigerians and ensure greater financial deepening. Monetary authority should ensure that interest rate is determined by market forces to reflect the true depth of the Nigerian financial system and thereby reduce the interest rate spread. The sustenance of CBN autonomy was equally recommended as a key to ensuring financial system stability

Keywords: Domestic Savings, Financial Inclusion, Financial Liberalization, Financial deepening, Nigeria

Informality and Domestic Savings in Nigeria: Lessons from Time Series Analysis (Published)

Following the dearth of empirical evidence on the response of domestic savings to informality in Nigeria, this study examined the impact of informality on domestic savings in Nigeria for the period 1970 to 2011 as a means of providing evidence based policies that will enhance the growth and development of the Nigerian economy. The study employed time series analysis using the OLS estimation procedure. The estimation results of the long run model indicate that informality hinders the growth of domestic savings, while the degree of financial depth impacts significantly and positively on domestic savings in Nigeria. It was also found that the growth rate of real per capita income impacts positively on domestic savings, even though it is not statistically significant in the long run. Based on these findings, we recommended that policy makers and the government should seek to improve the linkage between the formal and informal sectors in Nigeria as this would have a strong positive impact on domestic savings. Deposit money banks and the monetary authority should evolve policies aimed at reaching the unbanked informal sector agents, especially the rural households and the urban informal production units in order to deepen the financial sector and assist in mobilizing the much needed savings that will engender investment and growth in Nigeria. Also, development policy in Nigeria should focus on increasing the productive base of the economy in order to promote real income per capita growth and reduce unemployment.

Keywords: CBN, Domestic Savings, Informality, Nigeria, Time Series

Macroeconomic Factors That Influence Stock Market Development in Nigeria (Published)

Stock markets provide channels for the mobilization and allocation of funds in the economy to be used by firms and others in fully exploiting their material, human and management resources for optimal output. The stock market itself can be influenced by macroeconomic factors prevalent in the economy. A co-integration and error correction model was employed on macroeconomic data from Nigeria and the results suggest that factors such as national savings rate, inflation rate, economic growth rates and financial intermediary development influenced stock market development during the period 1970-2011. Results from the Chow test suggested that there was no structural break in stock market development after the introduction of the Structural Adjustment Programme in 1986. It was recommended that stabilizing the financial and economic aggregates by the government for the overall growth of the economy will help to grow the stock market. JEL Classification: G20, G28, E44, O55

Keywords: Domestic Savings, Engle-Granger Co-Integration, Financial Intermediary Development, Inflation, Stock Market Development